OPENING The Fault In Our Stars (FOX) beyond expectations with $48M weekend after Saturday slide Edge of Tomorrow (WBros.) won t crack $30M and expected at No. 3. Noteworthy Chef (OPRD) continues to play well in expansion.
3rd UPDATE SATURDAY 11 00 PM After a Saturday slide of around 53% The Fault in Our Stars is expected to gross about $12.3M tonight to bring its estimate down to around $48M for the three day weekend. Still sitting pretty fantastic for a film that the studio said cost around $12M. It s already break even and will be a profitable film for Fox. Disney s Maleficent remains in a strong second with around $13.45M Saturday for an expected $33M weekend (down about 52% from last weekend).
That brings us to Edge of Tomorrow from Warner Bros. which was flat Saturday with roughly $10.6M which means it s not gonna crack $30M more like $27M to $28M. It is doing well overseas for Mr. Cruise however with most recent numbers reported by my colleague Nancy Tartaglione here.
X Men Days of Future Past (with roughly $6.2M on Saturday) and A Million Ways to Die in the West (with about $2.9M) round out the Top Five with what looks to be a $15M and $6.95M three day weekend for the two respectively. Will update when more is known but that is how it has been looking throughout the day and this evening.
2ND UPDATE SATURDAY 10 08 AM Watching The Fault in Our Stars sliding down today already so revised the percentages in the copy below. Regardless this is an incredible opening for a small budgeted pic. The playability is a question for the subject matter but it could end up as this generation s Love Story. More later.
1st UPDATE SATURDAY 7 50 AM To infinity and The Fault in Our Stars by all accounts will head past $50M even with a bigger like 40% drop today (which could happen based on the $8.2M and the $25 ticket prices for the simulcast) it would still put it at $53.7M others have it as high as $57M with a lesser percentage drop. A higher percentage drop would take it around $50M or under.
At 7 52 AM (happens every time seconds to minutes after I post) Fox is also weighing in now they say it got a $26.1M gross after last night and is playing it more conservatively at $52M so they clearly think it s going to drop higher than other estimates. So everyone is getting ready for what we all know is going to be a significant Saturday slide but no matter because after its first weekend the movie (whose title comes from William Shakespeare s Julius Caesar) is well on its way to profitability.
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On the flip side The Tom Cruise sci fi action pic from Warner Bros. Edge of Tomorrow will be lucky to hit $30M but international numbers should lift it up probably not high enough. The popcorn movie even took over the IMAX screens this weekend the key question is can it make a profit Let s face it it s gonna be a tough one. I gotta think this is not just about Cruise but also tentpole fatigue. I mean at some point audiences just gotta look at one after another of these pictures and say Been there done that. Perhaps Hollywood needs to get back to its roots the moviemaking of the 1940s or 1970s where story and characters were the key not explosions and CGI effects. Speaking of which Disney s CGI laden Maleficent is expected to drop about 50% in its second weekend out to take in about $4M more than the Cruise pic. Thanks in large part to Angelina Jolie who embraces her character with a vengeance. And Chef from Open Road is doing well in its expansion a character/story driven film by Jon Favreau.
A few weeks back when I took a week off one of my colleagues talked about female appeal of Fox s The Other Woman having a well rounded cast. Now it s my turn to talk about a well rounded female cast in a different way. I don t know why Fox is looking outside the studio as it already has the strong woman it needs in Elizabeth Gabler. Sure she had a best selling book to work with but it was a love story with the C word so a risk. She kept the budget in line and put it forward. She is already known for her great taste in movies that are quality and commercial (Life of Pi The Devil Wears Prada). Another woman who deserves recognition for the perfectly devised trailer is Cami Sargent (as I said below but worth repeating). Erin Siminoff was the day to day production person. Then there s Shailene Woodley who proved to all that saw the film that she can carry a movie and is a serious actress. Forget Divergent this girl has chops. Yes there are males too author/YouTube Vlogger John Green from whom all things flowed including millions of followers on social media (the key to reaching this demo) actor Ansel Elgort and that on screen charisma with Woodley the director Josh Boone and producers Marty Bowen and Wyck Godfrey who did the nudging. The adaptation from Scott Neustadter and Michael Weber was spot on. Also kudos to the digital team those in publicity marketing and promotion. The Top Ten chart follows
1). The Fault In Our Stars (FOX) 3 171 theaters / $26M Fri. / 3 day cume $53M to $55M (Fox says $52M) / Wk 1
2) Maleficent (DIS) 3 948 theaters (0) / $10.2M Fri. / 3 day cume $34M ( 51%) / Total expected cume $127.9M / Wk 2
3). Edge of Tomorrow (WB) 3 490 theaters / $10.6M Fri. / 3 day cume $29.6M to $30.1M / Wk 1
4). X Men Days of Future Past (FOX) 3 639 theaters ( 362) / $4.5M Fri. / 3 day cume $14.6M to $15.65M ( 52%) / Total cume $190M / Wk 3
5). A Million Ways to Die in the West (UNI) 3 160 theaters ( 2) / $2.2M Fri. / 3 day cume $6.8M ( 59%) / Total cume $29.8M / Wk 2
6). Godzilla (WB) 3 110 theaters ( 391) / $1.7M Fri. / 3 day cume $6.2M ( 48%) / Total cume $185.4M / Wk 4
7). Neighbors (UNI) 2 674 theaters ( 265) / $1.6M Fri. / 3 day cume $5M to $5.2M ( 36%) / Total cume $137.7M / Wk 5
8). Blended (WB) 2 928 theaters ( 627) / $1.25M Fri. / 3 day cume $4.1M ( 49%) / Total cume $36.6M / Wk 3
9). Chef (OPRD) 1 298 theaters ( 674) / $716K Fri. / 3 day cume $2.55M ( 36%) / Total cume $10.35M / Wk 5
10/11). Million Dollar Arm (DIS) 1 643 theaters ( 686) / $565K Fri. / 3 day cume $1.9M ( 46%) / Total cume $31.5M/ Wk
The Amazing Spider Man 2 (SONY) 1 481 theaters ( 671) / $540K Fri. / 3 day cume $1.9M ( 48%) / Total cume $196.3M / Wk 6
PREVIOUSLY 11 09 PM Fox is over the moon with the performance of The Fault In Our Stars as the YA drama has shot past all expectations with what is estimated to be a $23.5M to $25M haul (includes $8.2M late nights). It is on track to gross a whopping $53M by all accounts on a small budget (the studio says $12M) putting this picture onto a strong path of profitability. Fox is being more conservative and saying $48M for FSS (waiting to see the Saturday drop off). The romancer about teens falling in love despite terminal illness garnered an A CinemaScore tonight which is great news for word of mouth.
This pic was tracking off the charts on social media for the past month and was bouyed by the perfectly cut trailer that danced well around the dire topic to spark interest across the country. For those of you wondering that great trailer was put together by Fox s little known wunderkind Cami Sargent. The film which stars Shailene Woodley and Ansel Elgort is based on the best selling book of the same name by John Green who has a huge social media following. Josh Boone directed the pic with Marty Bowen and Wyck Godfrey producing and Fox 2000 exec Elizabeth Gabler got the nudge and said okay.
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The Tom Cruise starring Edge of Tomorrow from Warner Bros. is expected to take the No. 3 spot behind Disney s Maleficent s in its second weekend. Ouch It got a B CinemaScore tonight. Maleficent is expected to drop 53% from last weekend for a total haul of around $32.6M to $35M compared to around $28M to $30M for Edge of Tomorrow. Sorry Tom better luck overseas where your muscles are still flexing. Here is how the Top Ten chart looks tonight and (as always) numbers and positions may change in the morning
1). The Fault In Our Stars (FOX) 3 171 theaters / $23.5M to $25M Fri. / 3 day cume $53M (Fox says lower at $48M) / Wk 1
2) Maleficent (DIS) 3 948 theaters (0) / $9.8M to $10.5M Fri. / 3 day cume $32.6M to $35M ( 53%) / Total expected cume $126.5M / Wk 2
3). Edge of Tomorrow (WB) 3 490 theaters / $10.4M Fri. / 3 day cume $28M to $30M / Wk 1
4). X Men Days of Future Past (FOX) 3 639 theaters ( 362) / $4.5M Fri. / 3 day cume $14M to $16M ( 51%) / Total cume $189.5M to $190.5M / Wk 3
5). A Million Ways to Die in the West (UNI) 3 160 theaters ( 2) / $2.2M to $2.4M Fri. / 3 day cume $7.3M to $7.5M ( 55%) / Total cume $30M / Wk 2
6). Godzilla (WB) 3 110 theaters ( 391) / $1.7M Fri. / 3 day cume $6.3M ( 47%) / Total cume $185.4M / Wk 4
7). Neighbors (UNI) 2 674 theaters ( 265) / $1.5M Fri. / 3 day cume $4.9M ( 38%) / Total cume $137.6M / Wk 5
8). Blended (WB) 2 928 theaters ( 627) / $1.25M Fri. / 3 day cume $4.2M ( 47%) / Total cume $36.8M / Wk 3
9). Chef (OPRD) 1 298 theaters ( 674) / $699K Fri. / 3 day cume $2.6M ( 36%) / Total cume $10.4M / Wk 5
10). The Amazing Spider Man 2 (SONY) 1 481 theaters ( 671) / $525K Fri. / 3 day cume $1.9M ( 49%) / Total cume $196.3M / Wk 6
For more estimates listed by title see box office results here...
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